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A Reset for Iran and the United States….Foreign Affairs

A Reset for Iran and the United States
Why an Unpopular Approach Is Washington’s Best Option

By Hamid Biglari

It remains conventional wisdom in many U.S. foreign policy circles that Iran’s government is ineluctably hostile to U.S. interests by virtue of its ideology and thus is impervious to conciliation. According to this school of thought, there are few differences among the competing forces in Iranian politics, and the labels of  “moderate” and “hard-line” used by some Western observers are misplaced. Since anyone standing for election must be approved by Iran’s Guardian Council, an unelected body of Shiite jurists, all candidates must support the fundamental revolutionary tenets of the Islamic Republic. Measured by a properly balanced political scale, all Iranian politicians are therefore hard-liners, and the government is monolithic. As such, this thinking runs, Iran’s presidential elections are less an expression of popular will than a mechanism for the supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, to rotate power among loyalists while maintaining control.
Proponents of this line of thinking point to the record of Iranian President Hassan Rouhani, a moderate who overwhelmingly won reelection to a second term in May. Rouhani’s first term, they note, brought few improvements to domestic human rights conditions, nor did it appear to moderate Iran’s foreign policies. They point to Iran’s support for the regime of President Bashar al-Assad in Syria, for Hezbollah in Lebanon, for Houthi forces in Yemen, and for Shiite militias in Iraq, as well as to Tehran’s provocation of U.S. warships in the Persian Gulf. They point to Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corp’s (IRGC) continued development of medium-range ballistic missile technology as evidence of the offensive threat that Iran poses to Israel and the region. And they note some Iranian officials’ bellicose rhetoric against Israel and the United States. These facts, it is commonly argued, show that Iran is not ready for responsible international engagement.

Current U.S. policy is therefore built around containing and isolating Iran, using U.S.-led economic and military sanctions. A number of influential observers and officials have also recently expressed at least implicit support for regime change, including Secretary of State Rex Tillerson, who stated in Senate testimony in June that, although Iran policy is still under review, the United States would work with Iranian opposition forces “towards the peaceful transition of that government.” Based on this thinking, the more isolated Iran becomes and the more tightly it is squeezed politically and economically, the more likely Iran’s regime is to capitulate to Western interests or transform its approach to governance.
15-10-2017

https://www.foreignaffairs.com/articles/iran/2017-09-06/reset-iran-and-united-states?cid=int-lea&pgtype=hpg

 

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مركز صقر للدراسات والبحوث الاستراتيجية
تأسس في اذار 2004 في العراق في بغداد
حاليا يعمل وفق للسياق الالكتروني الذكي
المركز مؤسّسة بحثية مستقلة ، يُعنى بتداول ونشر الدراسات والبحوث والعلوم الاستراتيجية ، ويعمل على قياس تأثيراتها وفق مؤشرات الكم والنوع والاثر على كافة المستويات الدولية والمؤسساتية ، وباستخدام المخرجات الاكاديمية والحرفية البحثية المنتهجة في البحث العلمي لتقديم الرؤى وطرح البدائل والخيارات في جانب الاستشارات ورسم السياسات ، بما يدعم عمليات صنع القرارات ، ويقوم الباحثون في المركز بإجراء سلسله من الأبحاث والدراسات الاستراتيجية بما يتعلق بالتفكير والتحليل والتخطيط والاستنتاج والادارة الاستراتيجية وينفرد المركز بكون رئيسه المنظر الاول عالميا في مجال حوكمة مؤسسة الدولة والتي تختلف عن حوكمة الشركات المشاعة , ويقدم المركز خبراته وقدراته للمعنيين وذوي الرغبة في التعاقد والاستشارات وكذلك طلبة الدراسات بكافة تخصصاتها

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